Benefitting from the inflow of moist tropical air from the Caribbean Sea and very warm 83 ☏ (28 ☌) sea surface temperatures, the disturbance was soon exhibiting some subtropical characteristics, and gradually becoming better organized. On November 5, an area of low pressure producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms developed just north of Puerto Rico.

On November 4, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) began monitoring the northeastern Caribbean Sea and southwestern Atlantic Ocean where a large non-tropical low-pressure system was expected to develop within a few days. Meteorological history Įxtratropical cyclone, remnant low, tropical disturbance, or monsoon depression Eleven indirect deaths altogether have been connected to the storm, six in the Dominican Republic and five in Florida. Days of strong on-shore wind flow onto the east coast of Florida produced severe beach erosion, especially in Volusia, St. Despite being relatively weak, Nicole's large size produced widespread heavy rainfall and strong winds across the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and Florida, knocking out power and inflicting significant damage in many areas.

Nicole crossed the same region in Florida devastated six weeks earlier by Hurricane Ian, and was the first hurricane to make landfall on Florida's east coast since Katrina in 2005. Nicole became the third November hurricane on record to make landfall in Florida, along with the 1935 Yankee hurricane and Hurricane Kate in 1985. Nicole then weakened to a depression while moving over the Florida Panhandle, and then was absorbed into a mid-latitude trough and cold front over extreme eastern Tennessee the following day. On November 10, it made landfall twice in Florida, south of Vero Beach and then northwest of Cedar Key, after briefly emerging over the Gulf of Mexico. Then, taking a path similar to that of Hurricane Dorian three years earlier, Nicole made landfall on November 9, on Great Abaco and on Grand Bahama in The Bahamas, where it strengthened into a Category 1 hurricane. The fourteenth named storm and eighth hurricane of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season, Nicole formed as a subtropical cyclone on November 7, from a non-tropical area of low pressure near the Greater Antilles, and transitioned into a tropical cyclone the next day. Hurricane Nicole was a sprawling late-season Category 1 hurricane in November 2022. Part of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season Of course we will continue to monitor the situation and will let you know if and when things change.Hurricane Nicole shortly before landfall in eastern Florida on November 10ĭominican Republic, Puerto Rico, The Bahamas, Southeastern United States Could it impact us? Yes it could, but with the data we have at this point the chance of that looks fairly low. Once back out to sea it hugs the coast as it travels north.Īt this point it is simply too early to know exactly what Erika is going to do. The ECMWF, another fairly reliable model but not specifically a 'hurricane model' shows the storm traveling into the Gulf of Mexico before moving northeast over Florida and then back out to sea. The GFDL is known as a 'hurricane model' and on day five (Tuesday) it places the remnants of Erika in Western Virginia and tracking northwest. The GFS we used as an example above is one of the better performing models when it comes to track, although it isn't 'just' a hurricane model. Remember that over the past 24 hours we have seen the track change from indicating an uncertain landfall to now pointing to this tropical system moving directly over Florida. The GFS, however, is only one model out of dozens that are run multiple times a day with the latest data available.

Erika hurricane track